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Quick & Dirty Trade
Silver Eyes A Breakout
Silver is showing strong momentum this week after US inflation and retail sales data missed expectations, providing a boost to precious metals. Historically, silver performs well from January to March in post-election years, adding a seasonal tailwind to the setup. The latest Commitment of Traders report also reveals a notable increase in commercial buying, suggesting confidence in further gains.
Silver looks poised to break through a significant level of resistance that could invite a fresh round of buying. If the price remains above $30.00 Silver could have a strong start to the year.
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Macro Insight, Micro Impact
Yen on the Move, BoJ Brings the Heat
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda held a hawkish tone this week when talking about the central bank's future policy. In a statement Ueda said the BoJ will raise interest rates and adjust the degree of monetary support if price conditions continue.
Japan’s 10 year bond yields reached their highest level since 2011 but soon retreated after the comments. The correlation between this and USDJPY price is considered strong, if Japan’s 10 year bond yields continue to decline then the JPY will strengthen.
Macro Hack of the Week: Mastering Intermarket Relationships in Trading
When diving into macro trading, understanding intermarket relationships is a game-changer. For example:
Currencies and Commodities: The Australian Dollar (AUD) often correlates with iron ore prices. If iron ore surges, AUD might strengthen.
Interest Rates and Currencies: Higher U.S. interest rates typically boost the U.S. Dollar (USD) as global investors seek better returns.
Geopolitics and Safe Havens: Gold and the Japanese Yen (JPY) often rise during uncertainty as investors flock to safety.
By connecting these dots, you can anticipate moves and gain a deeper edge in the markets. Study, observe, and simplify your macro analysis for success.
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